The Economic Complexity of the Western Roman Empire

(michelecoscia.com)

166 points | by mikk14 5 days ago ago

46 comments

  • robertacion 3 days ago ago

    The last paragraph is a reference to Cato the Elder. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carthago_delenda_est

    "As a third and final action point, I am of the opinion that Carthage must be destroyed."

    • 5040 3 days ago ago

      And speaking of Cato and economic complexity:

      As his income grew, Cato also became a regular investor in commercial lending. Although a law from 218 BC banned senators from engaging directly in commercial shipping, Cato formed partnerships of fifty investors that backed the commercial operations of fifty ships. He fronted all of the initial capital and then lent money to investors that they could each use to buy a share in the enterprise. Cato himself entrusted one share to a freed slave who acted as his agent. He then profited from the trading activities as well as the interest on these loans, while following the letter of the law and limiting his direct exposure in case the cargo was lost.

    • akkartik 3 days ago ago

      I'll just leave this here: I think the destruction of Carthage was a great catastrophe. Both for the world from a humanitarian perspective and for Rome which squandered a lot of economic generativity.

      • zaubarari 3 days ago ago

        If Rome had stayed a local power, could a divided Mediterranean have been even more dynamic than a unified empire? Perhaps rivalry between regional powers would have inspired greater human achievement. There certainly would have been wars, but not necessarily more than those the Roman Empire actually fought.

    • mcswell 3 days ago ago

      [flagged]

      • smallmancontrov 3 days ago ago

        Russia has been embarrassingly bad at conquering Ukraine, but it's truly incredible how thoroughly their talking points have conquered conservatives in the USA. They frame anything other than complete capitulation to Russian invasion as crazed aggression against Russia, as if Russia didn't send its conquering army out of its borders and couldn't withdraw that army at any time and be left alone.

        • nickff 3 days ago ago

          >"They frame anything other than complete capitulation to Russian invasion as crazed aggression against Russia..."

          This has been common among many groups for a long time; I recall the GWB administration proposing a missile interceptor system based in Eastern Europe in the mid-oughts, and Democratic Party members in congress opposed it as 'provocative'. The (Liberal) Canadian government of the time opposed that as well as the Alaska based 'shield' as being 'aggressive'.

          I suspect this has something to do with (politically self-identified) disempowered groups generally wanting to 'shoot down' initiatives, but the Trump administration seems to have a different motivation.

          • ted_bunny 3 days ago ago

            Just like Iran has been aggressively being encircled by our helpless inmocent bases for decades? Can't believe people are still swallowing this imperial propaganda. A tale as old as time and people still refuse to learn from it.

          • smallmancontrov 3 days ago ago

            No, those two things are not equivalent. Posture and capabilities are open to interpretation in a way that armies crossing a border and bombing your cities simply isn't.

            • nickff 3 days ago ago

              Shipping weapons, ammunition, and other supplies to one side in an active conflict is much more 'provocative' than building a facility located hundreds or thousands of kilometers from the border of a potential adversary.

              Most things which differ are not equivalent; pointing that out isn't helpful.

          • geysersam 3 days ago ago

            In a security order based on mutual assured destruction, a capable missile defence system is a threat.

            • nickff 3 days ago ago

              Lots of things are threats, including long-range stealth bombers, of which the USA already fields 19, and is manufacturing more. Attack submarines are a threat as well, because they can destroy SSBNs, which are the only credible second-strike credibility.

        • MadrasTh0rn 3 days ago ago

          Think about what you can see on a political level and now think what you don't see towards children education where Trump started his work in 2017

      • whywouldyoucare 3 days ago ago

        Well, the nazis tried it with the Jews, now you are trying this with Russians.

        I cannot but wish you the same end as that of your nazi predecessors.

        • nkmnz 2 days ago ago

          Well, the nazis tried it with the Jews, now the Russians try it with Ukrainians.

        • kakacik 2 days ago ago

          False equivalency at its best, apart from other missteps you make

          • whywouldyoucare 2 days ago ago

            It would be indeed a "misstep" had I not reacted to an open call for the genocide of the Russian people. (Allowed by the way quite liberally on your "social networks" and here.)

            As for "false equivalence", you are not a Russian, so it is really not for you to speak.

  • noosphr 3 days ago ago

    >honored tradition of ignoring the fact that women exist and do stuff

    Yes, they birthed and raised children.

    As someone raising children, and having been a child myself, the erasure of children from the historical record by academics is far more egregious than ignoring what a fraction of women did.

    • decidu0us9034 2 days ago ago

      What does this have to do with economic complexity? Could you elaborate? You mean like child labor? What's the fraction, how small is it? I don't get it. "As a former child" is hilarious though

    • fnfofjgjgn 3 days ago ago

      [dead]

  • zormino 3 days ago ago

    I'm curious if that third factor is just geography

    • wilbo 2 days ago ago

      Guns Germs and Steel is a great book that explores geographic determinism.

      I am trying to find links but can't right now. There are many cross cultural studies they have found the effects of social class systems and family economic advantages persist over centuries. A millennia isn't unbelievable to me.

      I imagine it's a mix of both with strong geographic determinism tilting the scales for certain regions.

      • chistev 15 hours ago ago

        You should read Prisoners of Geography: Ten Maps That Tell You Everything You Need to Know About Global Politics by Tim Marshall.

        Another commenter mentioned the book under the comment you responded to.

        I wrote about it here in #30 - https://www.rxjourney.net/30-things-i-know

      • 15 hours ago ago
        [deleted]
    • davedx 3 days ago ago

      That was my first thought. Playing Civ games and reading books like Prisoners of Geography makes it pretty explicit

  • JumpCrisscross 3 days ago ago

    If this is your vibe, Erdkamp’s The Grain Market in the Roman Empire is worth a read.

    It’s easy to project modern markets onto ancient empires. But proper capital market are just a break from ancient ways of thinking in ways that are surprising.

  • whywouldyoucare 3 days ago ago

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monte_Testaccio

    It is 35 metres high now, 20,000 or so m^2, after 1500 years, and composed of ancient pottery fragments (the trade went sharply down after the 5th century A.D.)

    Caesar reports of a wall more than 20 km long, several meters high, with a canal in front of it, constructed by a legion or two, I don't remember now exactly, in two weeks time. Maybe an exaggeration, but..

    And the real question for me, is how they managed to do the logistics, with just the Roman numbers.. So the economical complexity should not be such a surprise, I suppose.

  • esafak 3 days ago ago
  • robotomir 3 days ago ago

    So they estimate economic complexity by the number of discovered Latin documents or inscriptions. Wasn't Greek prevalent in the East?

    • yorwba 3 days ago ago

      Which is why the title explicitly names the Western Roman Empire, and the article briefly discusses data issues with Greek inscriptions near the end.

      • crefiz 3 days ago ago

        can't read it seems

    • bartnp 3 days ago ago

      No, based on the professions named within the inscriptions. If a province has relatively many professions that are rare for the WRE, then it's considered more complex. See the paper for the actual estimates, the map in the article does not show the complexity estimation

  • ianbooker 3 days ago ago

    They really do a lot to correct for bias, but is it enough?

    I would suspect that a prosperous and thereby complex economy also has more resource to discover or document inscriptions. While they talk about researcher bias, they do not really mitigate this.

    And yes, I searched the article and the extensive additional material.

    Still a valuable contribution.

    • randysalami 3 days ago ago

      I’d argue that a complex economy in a failing society is actually a sign of weakness. Lots of nobles and the likes wanting their cut of a pie that doesn’t really exist anymore. So all of that complexity is not really backed up by the reality and you just have a bubble. I can imagine all kinds of roles and professions that just exist to endow people. This also happens a lot in modern society.

      I know this wasn’t actually your point but I just wanted to add.

  • geniium 3 days ago ago

    Wanted to read more on this

    • justin_dash 3 days ago ago

      Same here - I suppose this article did what it was supposed to do - give a short primer introducing the topic and if you want to see how they computed this look at the paper!

  • 150g2 a day ago ago

    All roads lead to More.

  • AcerbicZero 3 days ago ago

    Carthago delenda est.

  • db48x 3 days ago ago

    Server died already?

    • 3 days ago ago
      [deleted]
  • KaseyKim 3 days ago ago

    impressive

  • nerdsnerds 3 days ago ago

    [dead]