Even if the algorithm holds up we are still years out from a actual quantum computer that can run at scale. But that's kind of the point. NIST finalized ML-KEM in 2024 because you don't need to wait until the house is on fire to buy insurance. Harvest now decrypt later attacks are already happening today so thee migration window is closing regardless of whether quantum ever delivers.
Longer explanation: guy behind a company selling PQ algorithms from a new "University" which span up 4 months ago says they're better than everybody else and writes paper about it.
Quantum computing is a scam. So far 0 working computers that actually have proven to do things faster and correctly. Scientists are using some weak crazy adjusted algorithms to fool the investors.
I remember an article that even google's lab could not make final verdict if they work or not. Forgot the computer name
As a complete layman, quantum computing seems like it could be like AI. AI for the longest time was a scam. Like, it was clearly improving, but only in marginal increments. The bar was so low though... even the state of the art was garbage - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tay_(chatbot), for example. Eventually it was starting to seem like narrow applications of CNNs/machine learning would be the future of AI, but that general purpose AI would be garbage forever. It took the attention/transformer breakthrough (and someone to realize how to use it) before we hit the explosive improvement in general purpose AI that we see today. Quantum computing could still be in the "Tay" phase right now.
A skeptical assessment:
https://postquantum.com/security-pqc/cybersecurity-apocalyps...
which concludes that the chances of this prediction being true are very slim.
could carrying a lot of weight here.
Paper pdf:
https://www.preprints.org/manuscript/202510.1649
As usual with anything quantum computer: I'll wait for Scott Aaronson's take.
Even if the algorithm holds up we are still years out from a actual quantum computer that can run at scale. But that's kind of the point. NIST finalized ML-KEM in 2024 because you don't need to wait until the house is on fire to buy insurance. Harvest now decrypt later attacks are already happening today so thee migration window is closing regardless of whether quantum ever delivers.
https://postquantum.com/security-pqc/cybersecurity-apocalyps...
TLDR: No
Longer explanation: guy behind a company selling PQ algorithms from a new "University" which span up 4 months ago says they're better than everybody else and writes paper about it.
Quantum computing is a scam. So far 0 working computers that actually have proven to do things faster and correctly. Scientists are using some weak crazy adjusted algorithms to fool the investors.
I remember an article that even google's lab could not make final verdict if they work or not. Forgot the computer name
As a complete layman, quantum computing seems like it could be like AI. AI for the longest time was a scam. Like, it was clearly improving, but only in marginal increments. The bar was so low though... even the state of the art was garbage - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tay_(chatbot), for example. Eventually it was starting to seem like narrow applications of CNNs/machine learning would be the future of AI, but that general purpose AI would be garbage forever. It took the attention/transformer breakthrough (and someone to realize how to use it) before we hit the explosive improvement in general purpose AI that we see today. Quantum computing could still be in the "Tay" phase right now.
>AI for the longest time was a scam. Like, it was clearly improving, but only in marginal increments.
AI was improving a lot, we just kept moving the goalposts. AI is not just chatbots. But nitpicking aside, I get what you're saying and I agree.
oh merely 5k qubits?
Much more physical qubits, even if that extrapolation were true, which is doubtful.
Reminds me of a recent article.. title was something like "Cloudflare currently breaks RSA-2048 encryption with MitM certs." /s