This is interesting posturing, but ultimately I think the Ukraine drone war has made an invasion of Taiwan by China virtually impossible.
- Surface naval assets are extremely vulnerable to drones, so a blockade probably can't be maintained
- a marine assault will get utterly obliterated by drones as well as conventional military defenses
- urban warfare with drones is now even more difficult
- wars like this expose governmental corruption on a massive scale, so the mainland military won't want it to happen
- the Malacca Straits will be blockaded by a deep water navy (ours) that can't be reached by Ukraine-style drones, so China's economy collapses without oil for fertilizer, energy, and transportation
This is interesting posturing, but ultimately I think the Ukraine drone war has made an invasion of Taiwan by China virtually impossible.
- Surface naval assets are extremely vulnerable to drones, so a blockade probably can't be maintained
- a marine assault will get utterly obliterated by drones as well as conventional military defenses
- urban warfare with drones is now even more difficult
- wars like this expose governmental corruption on a massive scale, so the mainland military won't want it to happen
- the Malacca Straits will be blockaded by a deep water navy (ours) that can't be reached by Ukraine-style drones, so China's economy collapses without oil for fertilizer, energy, and transportation