27 comments

  • antognini a day ago ago

    This system, OJ287, is perhaps the most important system we have for understanding what happens to supermassive black holes after a galaxy merger. This is the so-called "Last Parsec Problem."

    When two galaxies merge, their supermassive black holes fairly rapidly sink to the center of mass of the newly combined galaxy via dynamical friction and enter into a slow orbit around each other. Over time, the SMBHs kick out interloping stars, which removes energy from the orbit and causes the two SMBHs to come closer together. If the SMBHs were able to get within ~0.1 parsecs of each other, gravitational wave radiation could take over and cause the orbit to shrink fairly rapidly and lead to the merger of the two SMBHs.

    However, the theoretical models we have generally predict that at about 1 parsec, the SMBHs have kicked out all the stars in their neighborhood, so the process stalls out. In practice we don't observe many SMBH binary systems (OJ287 being the main exception), so there must be some mechanism that causes these systems to shrink from 1 pc to 0.1 pc. But we don't know what it is. The hope is that detailed studies of the orbit of OJ287 can provide some clues as to what that missing mechanism is.

    • OgsyedIE 17 hours ago ago

      Why can't they dissipate momentum by ejecting interloping matter that is smaller than individual stars, such as regions of interstellar-medium density gas?

      • antognini 15 hours ago ago

        They do, but there's just not that much mass compared to stars.

    • AnimalMuppet a day ago ago

      The diagram in the article shows them 0.02 apart, with no units that I can see. Parsecs? Light years? Arc-seconds? Does anybody know?

      Other commenters have proposed 0.22 light years, but if that's it, it's off from the diagram by a factor of 10...

  • pavel_lishin a day ago ago

    > The existence of two black holes in OJ287 was first suggested in 1982. Aimo Sillanpää, then a graduate student at the University of Turku, observed that the brightness of the quasar changed regularly over a 12-year cycle.

    Damn, that's about the time it takes Jupiter to orbit the sun. That feels wildly close together for objects that mass 18 billion & 150 million times that of our own sun.

    These black holes (according to a calculator I found online) have radii of 53 billion km and 400 million km, so I'm guessing they must be orbiting significantly further away, and significantly faster than Jupiter (which is ~800 million km away from the sun) - which makes sense, given the monstrous 18b figure. I wonder how far apart they are, but I don't really know how to easily calculate that right now.

    • hnuser123456 a day ago ago

        Feature                  Primary Black Hole              Secondary Black Hole
        -----------------------  ------------------------------  ------------------------------
        Mass                     1.8 × 10^10 M                   1.5 × 10^8 M
        Schwarzschild Radius     356 AU                          3.0 AU
       
        --- Circular / Average Orbital Properties ---
        Orbital Period           12 years
        Semi-Major Axis          13,800 AU (~0.22 ly)
        Orbital Speed (avg)      282 km/s (0.094% c)             33,900 km/s (11.3% c)
      
        --- Elliptical Orbit (e ≈ 0.65) ---
        Pericenter Distance      4,830 AU                        (same)
        Orbital Speed (peri)     613 km/s (0.20% c)              73,600 km/s (24.5% c)
      
        Apocenter Distance       22,800 AU                       (same)
        Orbital Speed (apo)      130 km/s (0.043% c)             15,600 km/s (5.2% c)
      
      So the "smaller" SMBH is punching through the larger one's disk at a significant fraction of c twice every 12 years. But it's losing energy to gravitational waves so quickly that they'll probably merge in around 10,000 years [1]

      [1] https://archive.is/Ccy5M

      • Qem a day ago ago

        Such a system would make easy[1] for any civilization living nearby to launch spaceships at a large fraction of the speed of light. But the tricky part would be braking at the destination, unless your destination is a similar and suitably aligned system.

        [1] https://www.centauri-dreams.org/2023/06/08/freeman-dysons-gr...

      • IAmBroom a day ago ago

        Orbiting at c/6 - WOW!

        • ccozan a day ago ago

          The relativistiv effects must be wild there!

      • butlike a day ago ago

        > the "smaller" SMBH is punching through the larger one's disk at a significant fraction of c twice every 12 years. But it's losing energy to gravitational waves so quickly

        Bro should get in shape before they start to clap cheeks

    • kmm a day ago ago

      In Newtonian gravity, the relation between the orbital period T and the semimajor axis a of the orbital ellipse is a^3 / T^2 = GM / 4π^2, where M is the reduced mass of the system (in this case, with 99% of the mass being in one of the two black holes, it's simply the mass of the heavier one).

      Plugging 12 years and 18e9 solar masses gives about 2e12 kilometers, or roughly a fifth of a lightyear. This also means the smaller black hole is zipping around the bigger one at around 6% of the speed of light, which is low enough that the Newtonian approximation is probably reasonable accurate (at least to give a rough idea of how large the distances must be).

    • ardel95 a day ago ago

      Kepler’s laws should still provide a pretty good estimate, at least until black holes get much closer. I did a quick back of the envelope calculation, and looks like they’ll be roughly 14k astronomical units, or 0.22 light years apart.

    • kbelder 19 hours ago ago

      You made me wonder about the orbital speed of a planet circling one of these supermassive black holes, and how fast it would be... and then I realized, of course, the orbital speed would approach the speed of light at the event horizon.

      There's a SF story waiting to be written about a planet just over that radius, traveling at something like 0.99c. Years would takes seconds, and seem even faster since they'd be significantly time-dilated. Of course, they'd quickly spiral in.

    • hinkley a day ago ago

      How much time dilation do you get at those masses though?

      I’m having more trouble visualizing how accretion disks would work for a binary black hole. Because the light is coming from the disks, not the black holes. So those are what are actually pulsing/girating.

      • ardel95 a day ago ago

        Unless I screwed up the math, they would be quarter of a light year apart. Plenty of space for each black hole to form its own accretion disk.

        • hinkley a day ago ago

          Oh that chart is really awful then. It’s showing an accretion disk that’s half a light year in diameter at least.

      • pavel_lishin a day ago ago

        Yeah, good point on that, too. I bet someone's written a simulator that I could run locally, but I've got a busy day ahead of me :(

        I thought that in this case, the light that they detected was coming from the jets coming from the poles, not the disk itself directly.

        • hinkley a day ago ago

          Since black holes are black holes, the jets are generated by the disk.

  • hinkley a day ago ago

    Why “just released” if the paper the image came from is dated 2022?

    • DaveZale a day ago ago

      maybe this:

      One more flare happened since then, in 2022, but because of instrumental limitations, it was caught only at a prestage (M. J. Valtonen et al. 2023; M. J. Valtonen 2024). At the same time, more flares were discovered in historical photographic plate studies so that only eight of the expected 26 flares remain unconfirmed (R. Hudec et al. 2013). All the unconfirmed ones are due to lack of known photographs at the expected epochs.

      https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.3847/1538-4357/ae057e

      • hinkley a day ago ago

        I understand that patterns and confirmations often come from data captured years ago and reanalyzed. That’s how some comets are discovered.

        What I don’t get is how you can say we are publishing the first picture and then post a picture that was published three years ago.

        It looks like HN has now changed the title from the “all editors should be fired” exhibit list to something more reasonable, but the linked article is still titled, “Scientists capture first image of two black holes in orbit.”

        • DaveZale 20 hours ago ago

          which editors should be fired? You mean the scientific journal editors?

          As to the image, "The image shows two bright points, each representing a jet of high-energy particles emitted by one of the black holes. The black holes themselves remain invisible, but the image provides clear visual evidence of their position, motion, and dual existence. "

          My best guess is that it took a few years to interpret the data. Frankly, I don't get the math. The numbers are so big! But I feel pretty small when considering this... and, of course, soon we'll hear of even more of these systems.

          Do you think that gravitational lens effects will be studied when "the stars are aligned" for other studies?

          • hinkley 11 hours ago ago

            > You mean the scientific journal editors?

            It’s died down lately but there has been a lot of spleen venting here about how shit article titles are compared to their contents. Often implying the exact opposite of the contents. The usual explanation is that editors pick the titles. And then there is a lot of uncharitable speculation about what exactly editors are good for given they are so overwhelmingly awful at titles. Which I am all too happy to participate in.

            What’s interesting is the policy here used to be no editorializing on titles. But the title of this thread has been changed to something more like the paper and less like the article describing it. Seemingly in violation of that old policy. I hope that means I’ve missed a shift in policy happening.

  • Avlin67 a day ago ago

    where is the image ?

  • InspGadget4343 a day ago ago

    *Muse starts playing somewhere in the cosmos