36 comments

  • londons_explore 16 hours ago ago

    There is only a fixed amount of silicon production capacity. That can't be scaled up quickly.

    Powering all produced chips 24x7 is therefore the maximum energy use.

    I suspect these huge AI datacenter proposals are bigger than that - and therefore either aren't going to happen, or will be delayed many years.

  • rsynnott 17 hours ago ago

    > while another, called Hyperion, will be able to scale up to 5 gigawatts over the coming years, Zuckerberg said.

    Someone hasn't read the Dan Simmons novel, it seems. Well, one would hope, anyway.

    • IvyMike 16 hours ago ago

      From the classic tweet[0]:

      > Sci-Fi Author: In my book I invented the Torment Nexus as a cautionary tale

      > Tech Company: At long last, we have created the Torment Nexus from classic sci-fi novel Don't Create The Torment Nexus

      [0]: https://x.com/AlexBlechman/status/1457842724128833538?lang=e...

      • Taylor_OD 14 hours ago ago

        Palantir Technologies is named after the "palantír" from Lord of the Rings. Famously, a well-used and safe technology.

        • jordanb 12 hours ago ago

          Really takes a special guy to read a fantasy novel and identify with the villain.

          • palmotea 7 hours ago ago

            > Really takes a special guy to read a fantasy novel and identify with the villain.

            IIRC, the palantír were kind of neutral, and created by elves.

            Honestly, I think these techlord LOTR fans identify with the heroes, and lack the insight to realize they'd actually be the villains. They're totally Sarumans raping the forest to build an Orc army to conquer the world.

          • defrost 12 hours ago ago

            The official video for the Laibach cover of Sympathy for the Devil comes to mind.

            ( The Robert Fripp, Toyah Wilcox Sunday Lunch cover Sympathy is just a distracting nod to growing old disgracefully )

  • MichaelRazum 15 hours ago ago

    Grok4 was trained on 100k or 200k GPUs (as far as I understand)

    Grok5 might need 1MM or 2MM.

    So the question is what about metas / zucks plans? How many GPUs will Manhattan get? Looks like, that to get the next unlock you need crazy amounts of compute.

    • jiggawatts 14 hours ago ago

      Meta had the equivalent of about 600K H100 cards a year ago, but they were geographically distributed and used mostly for inference.

      These giant data centres will allow these companies to put about a million in one location and possibly into a single giant training cluster.

  • quantified 18 hours ago ago

    The title is pure clickbait, Zuck didn't say that. "A significant part of the footprint" could be 2%.

    • tootie 17 hours ago ago

      https://www.threads.com/@zuck/post/DMF6tMAxkX8

      He has a little animation of the building overlayed on Manhattan. Looks like it would cover maybe 1/3 to 1/2 of the land.

      • xg15 15 hours ago ago

        According to that animation, it would also be taller than the Empire State Building across the entire area.

      • krunck 16 hours ago ago

        But, Oh the replies!

  • syeare 5 hours ago ago

    Better make your own powerplant Unsurprising if they steal from the same source as taxpayers' electricity, get subsidized for it because "jobs" (that no one gets), finally resulting in raised bills for the rest

  • moneycantbuy 16 hours ago ago

    see https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44562052

    basically zuck destroys the surrounding neighborhood without consequence.

  • dmitrygr 18 hours ago ago

    How many elephants will it weigh? How many times faster than a cheetah will it be?

    • cosmicgadget 17 hours ago ago

      What is the compute power in metaflops???

  • bediger4000 18 hours ago ago

    For a single, square building, this area would be about 5 miles on a side. That's ridiculous, and you'd have a hard time getting rid of the heat

    If you're putting up fences, include no-go zones, curvy roads with check points and bollards, etc etc to protect a number of large but not absurdly large buildings, maybe. Still seems on the big size.

    • dskhatri 18 hours ago ago

      Some of the graphics indicate a contiguous building but it makes no sense to be constructed that way. The footprint probably includes power generation, power conversion, cooling systems, and compute centers as distinct blocks/buildings within the site.

    • Melatonic 15 hours ago ago

      Lot of eggs to put in one basket. What happens if there is some type of natural disaster in the area?

    • joules77 18 hours ago ago

      He has to go on signaling to attract people (at this stage its mostly opportunists having a field day).

    • quickthrowman 18 hours ago ago

      It likely won’t be a single building the size of Manhattan, Facebook doesn’t build their data centers like that now.

      Each Facebook data center has multiple buildings on each site, at least at the three sites I am familiar with.

  • lisbbb 18 hours ago ago

    If AI crap needs that much footprint I'm pretty sure it's just not worth it.

    • Tarsul 16 hours ago ago

      problem is that Big Tech has the money and wants to spend it. Maybe only a downturn can stop (or slow) this.

  • 42lux 17 hours ago ago

    Zuck is so reactive in everything and even as last mover he always misses. Would make me icky working for meta.

    • JumpCrisscross 17 hours ago ago

      > even as last mover he always misses

      Instagram. WhatsApp.

      • beAbU 2 hours ago ago

        He bought those, they were not built by meta.

      • gorjusborg 16 hours ago ago

        He renamed his company Meta, as in metaverse.

        I understand you are responding to the 'always', but can we agree that at least his level of confidence in an idea isn't a great indicator?

      • xg15 15 hours ago ago

        He bought those after they were already big. He can claim Facebook obviously, but not much else.

      • 17 hours ago ago
        [deleted]
      • 42lux 16 hours ago ago

        Talking about original ideas/ip.

        • JumpCrisscross 16 hours ago ago

          Isn’t the definition of last mover that it isn’t an original idea?

          • longfingers 16 hours ago ago

            Managing his own companies with copies of ideas hasn't gone very well for him AFA I remember, acquiring companies that are good in their field and not ruining them has been a talent compared to other Techs.

          • 42lux 14 hours ago ago

            They weren't last movers in both examples. They had a product, it failed to get a userbase... they bought the users.

    • 17 hours ago ago
      [deleted]
  • seydor 17 hours ago ago

    i m not sure it's a good investment. As soon as ASI is invented, it will make the investment obsolete. Maybe i should sell my Meta stock.

    I find it ridiculous to think that we will be able to exploit ASI for our benefit. It's like a bunch of ants plotting to enslave and exploit humans.

    Also Elon is smarter - he s spending Saudi money instead of his own