The Nobel Prize in Economics Is Fake

(chibus.com)

25 points | by 77pt77 14 hours ago ago

35 comments

  • vouaobrasil 13 hours ago ago

    Technically correct, but considering that the official Nobel organization endorses the prize on their website, it's a little bit of a stretch to call it a "fake". From nobelprize.org [1]:

    > The economics prize was established much later and is a memorial prize, as indicated by its full name: the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel. Its addition was an exception, to celebrate the tercentenary of Sweden’s central bank in 1968.

    Of course, I do understand where the author is coming from. Economics as a discpline has large, shady pieces. But I think some of that shadiness exists in the Nobel organization itself....

    [1] https://www.nobelprize.org/frequently-asked-questions/#categ...

  • feyman_r 13 hours ago ago

    It is the 'Nobel Memorial Prize' [1], not the Nobel Prize. The former is official, the latter is unfortunately colloquial now.

    >> The Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences, officially the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel[2][3][4] (Swedish: Sveriges riksbanks pris i ekonomisk vetenskap till Alfred Nobels minne), is an economics award funded by Sveriges Riksbank[5] and administered by the Nobel Foundation.

    Although not one of the five Nobel Prizes established by Alfred Nobel's will in 1895,[6] it is commonly referred to as the Nobel Prize in Economics,[

    <<

    [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nobel_Memorial_Prize_in_Econom...

  • maxverse 13 hours ago ago

    > Economics is not a science. It is more like history, a set of useful methods but nonetheless highly colored by the current political mood.

    > Crucially, economics also lacks the basic accountability mechanism that real sciences have: data. Bad theories in biology or physics disappear when new data repudiates them, but bad theories in economics never go away.

    Lost me there. This is just sensationalist.

    • 7thaccount 13 hours ago ago

      It is sensationalist, but there is a small kernel of truth. Economists have major physics envy and want desperately to be a full mathematically based science, but it's more of a social science (as in not hard science). Doing regression models on the economy is obviously somewhat flawed. There is an experimental branch of economics that does repeatable experiments though, so some practicioners are probably pretty close.

      There are a lot of things economists almost universally agree on (e.g. price caps bad), but there are big differences in schools of thought. Politicians can choose a la carte and can find an economist to agree with them on practically any policy.

    • coliveira 13 hours ago ago

      Economics uses data, but unlike other sciences it is not falsifiable. If an economist makes a prediction that is incorrect, nothing happens. Instead they will always attribute the error to some unexpected factor that couldn't be accounted for (the "black swan" doctrine).

    • llimllib 13 hours ago ago

      Peace, famously, is easy to judge objectively; that's why it gets a nobel

      • 77pt77 13 hours ago ago

        Kissinger still got it without peace in Vietnam.

        • readthenotes1 10 hours ago ago

          Obama got it for winning an election while being half-white...

          • karmakurtisaani 5 hours ago ago

            Actually Obama got ot for closing Guantanamo, bringing peace to Middle East and withdrawing from Afghanistan. Or for the hope that he would do any of that, can't remember exactly right now..

    • 13 hours ago ago
      [deleted]
    • 77pt77 13 hours ago ago

      The interesting part is:

      > Ben is in his second year of UChicago’s JD-MBA

  • frikskit 13 hours ago ago

    I don’t think anybody cares what Nobel’s family member’s protests were about. Does anyone even bother to learn their names or know a single thing about their lives? It’s also not “fake” and the university didn’t invent it.

    The point is there is a prize that many/most people agree is one of the top recognitions of achievement for the field. Whether you call it Nobel or something else, doesn’t change a thing for anyone, as long as the prize is well known and well regarded.

    • jhbadger 13 hours ago ago

      But still, the bank that created the prize went to an awful lot of effort to make it seem like it was a Nobel. There are awards in every field. Advertising executives even have an award of their own called the Clio. Imagine if they had been so bold as to name it "The Clio Award in Memory of Alfred Nobel". Would it make sense to call it "The Nobel Prize in Advertising"?

      • piva00 6 hours ago ago

        The bank that created the prize is also the Swedish Central Bank.

    • stavros 13 hours ago ago

      "Whether you co-opt a famous prize to give legitimacy to yours, or use some other prize, doesn't change a thing for anyone, as long as the prize is equally famous" is a bit of a tautology.

    • TZubiri 13 hours ago ago

      "Whether you call it Nobel or something else, doesn’t change a thing for anyone"

      Ok if you believe that, stop calling it a Nobel prize then. Win win

      • 77pt77 13 hours ago ago

        Well, not like that!...

  • syntaxing 13 hours ago ago

    No one ever said Economics is purely a natural science. Studying a specific time period or "current political mood" is not the aspect that determines whether its a "science". Following the scientific method is what's important. With the author's logic, all social science is Fake.

    • forgetfreeman 13 hours ago ago

      Given social science's penchant for producing untestable theories and valueless navel-gazing there's at least some footing available if someone wanted to plant that flag.

    • stavros 13 hours ago ago

      ...yes.

  • BurningFrog 13 hours ago ago

    Correct: It's not a real Nobel prize

    Wrong: Economics is a science, and very important one.

    • BurningFrog 13 hours ago ago

      If you look closer, Economics is at least two sciences, with the unfortunate names Microeconomics and Macroeconomics.

      Microeconomics, better named Price Theory, which deals with supply and demand curves, is very important and successful. We can now understand things that were completely misunderstood 1-2 centuries ago, and the world is a much better place for it.

      Macroeconomics, OTOH, may have an impossible task. The system it tries to understand is aware of the science and alters its behavior as soon as something new is discovered.

    • KevinMS 13 hours ago ago

      > Wrong: Economics is a science, and very important one.

      a social science, in other words, a racket

    • kelseyfrog 13 hours ago ago

      Economics is worse than psychology and that's saying something. Failed sciences

  • karaterobot 13 hours ago ago

    > Economics is not a science.

    Not like Literature, or Peace.

  • zeroonetwothree 13 hours ago ago

    > Bad theories in biology or physics disappear when new data repudiates them

    String theory?

    • 77pt77 13 hours ago ago

      No direct data and no predictions.

      The safest of bets.

  • donohoe 13 hours ago ago

      economists carried out bloodless coups of central banks
      around the globe, co-opting the essentially arbitrary 
      and political matter of setting interest rates 
      for themselves.
    
    Interest rates not set by politicians? I think thats been a societal good - though I worry that the independence of the Fed could be undermined by the next president depending on how things go.

      [...] bolstered economics as a tool for governing
      technocratically and shutting down people who disagree 
      with the elite consensus
    
    The dawn of a new conspiracy theory.

      Economics is not a science
    
    Correct. Lets qualify that - it is a social science. This is a stated thing and not hidden. No one claims its a science on the level of physics or chemistry.

      economics also lacks the basic accountability mechanism that real sciences have
    
    In that sense, yes - its a social science. It is not the same. I defer to others on how that is good/bad but the comparison is off.

    I don't think the author knows what economics really is (which is shocking "Ben is in his second year of UChicago’s JD-MBA"), but hey, he made the front page on HN.

    • opo 13 hours ago ago

      >(which is shocking "Ben is in his second year of UChicago’s JD-MBA"),

      Honestly it wouldn't have surprised me if it said he was in his second year of high school.

      Can someone who upvoted this, explain why they upvoted this submission?

      • forgetfreeman 13 hours ago ago

        Certainly. After 45 years of observation of economists tanking national/regional/global economies, cheerlead neoliberal bullshit that contravenes the most basic principles outlined in an econ 101 textbook, and in general standing behind policy that creates shit outcomes for ~ 98% of the nation, the skepticism starts to set in in earnest. The lack of empiricism alone in the social sciences should be sufficient to dismiss them out of hand. The fact that one has been promoted to the notional captain's chair of the world economy beggars belief. And on a personal note I get off on watching folks get kicked in the worldview, so dude's screed is guaranteed to rattle all the right cages.

        • TimK65 4 hours ago ago

          All of this. Thank you.